it's easy to find data that confirms whatever bias you want to hold about the market right now bull or bear for example: you could use Q4 seasonality and the 4-year cycle theory to argue that R/R favors upside from here or you could highlight historical crypto performance around US midterms to argue that we go lower both sides can build a convincing case if they cherry-pick the right data but when you zoom out and focus on what's happening RIGHT NOW: - US equities losing trillions in market value amid the accelerating sell-off - Asian markets suffering a major tech-driven rout - AI-driven cybersecurity risks escalating, with potentially serious implications for global digital infrastructure - the US-Iran war escalating, with the risk of further military action remaining a major wildcard... especially once Trump no longer has to worry about an imminent election - the situation deteriorating across Saudi Arabia and the wider Gulf region - US macro data coming in less favorably than many had anticipated and yet $BTC has refused to break down decisively despite all of the above if bitcoin is absorbing this much uncertainty without a major breakdown, how easy is it to make a convincing case that the market is about to get significantly worse from here? not saying it can't happen but ignoring how well $BTC has held up while focusing exclusively on bearish historical patterns is just as much of a bias as blindly expecting Q4 seasonality to save us